IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.5	#165
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.5	#289
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#163

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#194

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.8%	19.5%	12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.3	14.2	14.9

.500 or above	65.8%	75.6%	50.7%
.500 or above in Conference	83.1%	86.0%	78.5%
Conference Champion	31.2%	36.4%	23.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	2.4%	2.1%	3.0%
First Round	15.6%	18.6%	10.9%
Second Round	1.5%	2.2%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 60.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 5	4 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 3	15 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	272	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	72-69	61%
Nov 28, 2020	229	Southern Miss	W	70-66	64%
Nov 29, 2020	154	Loyola Marymount	L	65-66	46%
Dec 05, 2020	4	@ Kansas	L	59-79	3%
Dec 10, 2020	100	South Dakota St.	L	70-75	31%
Dec 11, 2020	206	South Dakota	W	75-72	60%
Dec 12, 2020	248	North Dakota	W	74-69	66%
Dec 22, 2020	69	@ TCU	L	60-72	16%
Jan 02, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	80-70	81%
Jan 03, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	80-70	80%
Jan 08, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	75-70	67%
Jan 09, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	75-70	66%
Jan 15, 2021	248	@ North Dakota	W	73-71	57%
Jan 16, 2021	248	@ North Dakota	W	73-71	57%
Jan 22, 2021	305	Denver	W	78-67	82%
Jan 23, 2021	305	Denver	W	78-67	81%
Jan 29, 2021	275	@ UMKC	W	67-64	60%
Jan 30, 2021	275	@ UMKC	W	67-64	60%
Feb 05, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	W	77-73	61%
Feb 06, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	W	77-73	61%
Feb 19, 2021	100	South Dakota St.	L	72-74	43%
Feb 20, 2021	100	South Dakota St.	L	72-74	43%
Feb 27, 2021	206	@ South Dakota	L	73-74	49%
Feb 28, 2021	206	@ South Dakota	L	73-74	49%
Projected Record						13 - 11	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.4	2.1	4.9	7.9	7.5	5.1		27.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.8	4.0	6.4	5.4	2.1	0.4	0.0		19.2	2nd
3rd									0.1	1.2	4.4	5.6	3.2	0.7	0.0				15.2	3rd
4th								0.1	1.4	4.1	4.3	1.4	0.1						11.5	4th
5th							0.2	1.6	3.6	3.0	0.7	0.0							9.0	5th
6th					0.0	0.2	1.4	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0								6.5	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	1.3	1.6	0.9	0.1										4.2	7th
8th			0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.1											2.2	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0												1.0	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.3	3.5	5.4	7.0	8.7	10.1	11.5	11.8	11.0	10.0	7.9	5.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	99.5%	5.1		4.9	0.1
15-1	94.8%	7.5		6.4	1.1	0.0
14-2	78.6%	7.9		5.3	2.5	0.1
13-3	44.3%	4.9		2.2	2.1	0.6	0.0
12-4	18.0%	2.1		0.5	1.0	0.5	0.1
11-5	3.1%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	27.8%	27.8		19.4	6.9	1.3	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	5.1%		44.7%	44.2%	0.5%	13.5										0.0		0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0	2.8		0.9%
15-1	7.9%		35.1%	35.1%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.8	1.0	0.8	0.1	5.2
14-2	10.0%		28.3%	28.3%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.4	7.2
13-3	11.0%		20.2%	20.2%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	0.6	8.8
12-4	11.8%		14.3%	14.3%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	10.1
11-5	11.5%		11.1%	11.1%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	10.2
10-6	10.1%		8.1%	8.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	9.3
9-7	8.7%		5.5%	5.5%		15.9																0.0	0.4	8.2
8-8	7.0%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	6.8
7-9	5.4%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	5.3
6-10	3.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
5-11	2.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
4-12	1.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
3-13	0.7%																							0.7
2-14	0.3%																							0.3
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.8%	14.7%	0.0%	14.7										0.0		0.1	0.5	1.9	3.4	4.4	4.4	85.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.8					30.8	61.5	3.8	3.8